Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Lucciana Perez Alarcon		Elizabeth Mandlik

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.7	1.24	Watch
	3.18	1.31	Watch
	3.57	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.6)	1.26 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
25.8%

Elizabeth Mandlik
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucciana Perez Alarcon's form might have worsened.

Elizabeth Mandlik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elizabeth Mandlik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucciana Perez Alarcon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elizabeth Mandlik than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elizabeth Mandlik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Elizabeth Mandlik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 424. Mandlik is ranked WTA: 185.

Recent form of Perez Alarcon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mandlik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Perez Alarcon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mandlik is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Perez Alarcon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Arantxa Rus - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Angeles Rodriguez-Rizo	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Francesca Pace	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Kristina Liutova	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Madison Brengle - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Elizabeth Mandlik
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Elizabeth Mandlik - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Elizabeth Mandlik - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Arantxa Rus - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Elizabeth Mandlik - Vivian Wolff	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.11.25	Elvina Kalieva - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2

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