Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 San Rafael, CA, hard - Final

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Madison Brengle		Lucciana Perez Alarcon

	1	2
	1.38	2.7
	1.17	4.30	Watch
	1.34	3.03	Watch
	1.45	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)	3.17 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Brengle
70.3%

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Brengle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madison Brengle's performance.

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucciana Perez Alarcon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Brengle than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (+3%)

Madison Brengle - Lucciana Perez Alarcon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brengle is ranked WTA: 738. Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 449.

Brengle is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Perez Alarcon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Brengle is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Brengle
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Lea Ma - Madison Brengle	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Madison Brengle - Katarina Jokic	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Kayla Day - Madison Brengle	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Madison Brengle - Zuzanna Pawlikowska	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer - Madison Brengle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWL
- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Johanne Christine Svendsen - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	Svendsen J. C. retired ✺
03.10.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Madison Sieg	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Christasha McNeil - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Maya Iyengar - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Aspen Schuman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?WWWL

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