Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Lexington, SC, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lexington 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lucciana Perez Alarcon		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.72
	1.9	1.76
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.9	1.87
	1.95	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.83)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
47.5%

Maria Lourdes Carle
52.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 319., and Carle is ranked WTA: 222..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Carle could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Maria Lourdes Carle - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Mia Slama	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Tatjana Maria - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Janae Preston	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Emma Kamper Malmkjaer	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Reina Goto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Valeriya Strakhova - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Ekaterine Gorgodze	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Eva Vedder	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Julia Grabher	✺

Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Maria Lourdes Carle