Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday


	Lucia Cortez Llorca		Ekaterina Ovcharenko

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.16	1.67
	2.25	1.57
	2.18	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.71)	1.6 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Cortez Llorca
41.9%

Ekaterina Ovcharenko
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Cortez Llorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucia Cortez Llorca's performance.

Ekaterina Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekaterina Ovcharenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucia Cortez Llorca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ekaterina Ovcharenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ekaterina Ovcharenko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cortez Llorca (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 462. Ovcharenko is ranked WTA: 512.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ovcharenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ovcharenko will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Ayano Shimizu - Lucia Cortez Llorca	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Melisa Ercan	Ercan M. retired ✺
22.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Julia Garcia - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Julia Garcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 W?LLL
- Ekaterina Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Ekaterina Kazionova - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Alina Korneeva - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Manon Leonard - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Clara Vlasselaer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWLLW

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