Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6


	Luciano Darderi		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.36	3.05	Watch
	1.43	3.07
	1.43	2.92	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.94	Watch
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	2.97 ↑ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
67.9%

Alexander Shevchenko
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Luciano Darderi - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Shevchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Darderi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.67%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Hamburg
16.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Sonego	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti	2:3 ✺
02.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Jan Choinski	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
25.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?LWLW
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Hamburg
15.07.24	Rudolf Molleker - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Ugo Humbert	2:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
26.06.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
24.06.24	Constant Lestienne - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
15.06.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL

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