Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Alexander Shevchenko		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	4.2	1.23	Watch
	4.21	1.27
	4.54	1.2	Watch
	4.2	1.22	Watch
	4.17	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.4)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
23%

Ugo Humbert
77%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Shevchenko's form might have worsened.

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ugo Humbert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alexander Shevchenko - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shevchenko will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Humbert will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shevchenko (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Humbert (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Humbert (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Shevchenko (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Shevchenko (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Shevchenko (votes: 3 - 50%). Humbert (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 84. Humbert is ranked ATP: 34.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Humbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Humbert is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shevchenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Ben Shelton - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLLW
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Gabriel Diallo - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Ugo Humbert - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
15.01.26	Ugo Humbert - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Ugo Humbert	2:3
ATP Metz
11.11.23	Ugo Humbert - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0

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