Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Luciano Darderi		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
			Watch
	4.2	1.23	Watch
	4.66	1.23
	4.44	1.21	Watch
			Watch
	4.34	1.24	Watch
	3.65	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.65)	1.23 ↑ (1.22)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
22.3%

Lorenzo Musetti
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

74.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Darderi (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Musetti (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 29. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.

In recent matches, Darderi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Musetti is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Musetti is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.25	Jenson Brooksby - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Francisco Comesana - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.25	Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti L. retired ✺
28.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti	2:3
ATP Challenger
18.05.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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