Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CURITIBA (BRAZIL), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Luciano Darderi		Oliver Crawford

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.45	2.6
	1.51	2.7
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.4	2.84	Watch
	1.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.37)	2.63 ↓ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
64.2%

Oliver Crawford
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.

Oliver Crawford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oliver Crawford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oliver Crawford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Luciano Darderi - Oliver Crawford Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Crawford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Darderi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
28.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
26.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	Canceled ✺
18.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWW?L
- Oliver Crawford
ATP Challenger
28.10.23	Oliver Crawford - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
27.10.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Oliver Crawford - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Oliver Crawford - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Ernesto Escobedo - Oliver Crawford	Escobedo E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWL?

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