Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CURITIBA (BRAZIL), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Luciano Darderi		Orlando Luz

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.39	3.18
	1.39	3.18
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.33	3.16	Watch
	1.38	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	3.07 ↑ (3.02)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
69.2%

Orlando Luz
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Orlando Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Luciano Darderi - Orlando Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Luz will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Darderi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
26.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	Canceled ✺
18.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Juan Bautista Torres - Luciano Darderi	Torres J. B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WW?L?
- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
26.10.23	Orlando Luz - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Orlando Luz - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Blaise Bicknell - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Orlando Luz - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWL

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