Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi		Juan Manuel La Serna

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.4	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.52	2.34	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)	2.4 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
61.3%

Juan Manuel La Serna
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Juan Manuel La Serna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Juan Manuel La Serna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 421. La Serna is ranked ATP: 512.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ambrogi won 5.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

La Serna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ambrogi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ambrogi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Milledge Cossu	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Andrea Collarini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Maximus Jones - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Dante Pagani - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL
- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Alex Barrena - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Lautaro Agustin Falabella - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0
ATP Challenger
11.11.24	Juan Manuel La Serna - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2
ITF Tournaments
28.03.24	Juan Manuel La Serna - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2
22.02.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1
08.11.23	Juan Manuel La Serna - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2
29.04.23	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Juan Manuel La Serna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide