Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Maximus Jones		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.74	1.43
	2.54	1.48	Watch
			Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.37	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.37)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maximus Jones
36.2%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximus Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (-3%)

Maximus Jones - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Ambrogi (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Ambrogi (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ambrogi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 378. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 406.

Recent performances by Jones have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ambrogi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ambrogi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ambrogi could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Maximus Jones - Fernando Cavallo	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Maximus Jones - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Stuart Parker - Maximus Jones	Canceled ✺
20.08.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLW?L
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Dante Pagani - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Fernando Cavallo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.08.25	Remy Bertola - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Maximus Jones - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide