Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Andrea Collarini		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.42	2.69	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.36	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	2.66 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
64.9%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Collarini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andrea Collarini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collarini is ranked ATP: 252. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 406.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Collarini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Collarini is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Collarini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Andrea Collarini - Facundo Bagnis	Bagnis F. walkover ✺
16.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Mitchell Krueger - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Jan Choinski - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 ?WLWL
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Maximus Jones - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Dante Pagani - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Fernando Cavallo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Andrea Collarini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0
ITF Tournaments
21.02.25	Andrea Collarini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1

Andrea Collarini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide