Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday


	Lucija Ciric Bagaric		Maria Sara Popa

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	2.00
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.83	2.02
	1.79	1.94	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.75	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.72)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucija Ciric Bagaric
52.9%

Maria Sara Popa
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucija Ciric Bagaric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Maria Sara Popa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucija Ciric Bagaric than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sara Popa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Maria Sara Popa Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ciric Bagaric will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Popa will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ciric Bagaric is ranked WTA: 390. Popa is ranked WTA: 427.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ciric Bagaric may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucija Ciric Bagaric
ATP Challenger
26.07.26	Amandine Monnot - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Amarissa Kiara Toth	Toth A. K. Walkover ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Federica Urgesi - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Maria Toma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 W?LLW
- Maria Sara Popa
ATP Challenger
26.07.26	Maria Sara Popa - Amarissa Kiara Toth	Toth A. K. Retired ✺
WTA Iasi
12.07.26	Claire Liu - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Amandine Monnot - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Yaroslava Bartashevich - Maria Sara Popa	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.07.26	Anouck Vrancken Peeters - Maria Sara Popa	Vrancken Peeters A. Walkover
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?LLW?

Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Maria Sara Popa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide