Match Info

Date: 10 May 2022, Tuesday


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Heather Watson

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.48
	2.5	1.44
	2.68	1.49
	2.6	1.5
	2.62	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (1.93)	1.49 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
36.6%

Heather Watson
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucrezia Stefanini's form might have worsened.

Heather Watson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heather Watson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heather Watson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Lucrezia Stefanini - Heather Watson Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Stefanini will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Watson will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stefanini: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Watson could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Watson will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
ITF Tournaments
27.04.22	Lucrezia Stefanini - Louisa Chirico	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Louisa Chirico - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
22.04.22	Ellie Douglas - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
21.04.22	Timea Babos - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
20.04.22	Sofia Shapatava - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWW
- Heather Watson
ATP Challenger
04.05.22	Madison Brengle - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
02.05.22	Heather Watson - Tessah Andrianjafitrimo	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
27.04.22	Varvara Gracheva - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
26.04.22	Heather Watson - Kristina Kucova	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.22	Heather Watson - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL

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