Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
	2.75	1.44
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.79	1.48
	2.79	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.74	1.46	Watch
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.46)	1.44 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
34.2%

Rebecca Sramkova
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

72.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucrezia Stefanini's performance.

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebecca Sramkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucrezia Stefanini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rebecca Sramkova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Lucrezia Stefanini - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Stefanini will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Sramkova will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sramkova: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stefanini is ranked WTA: 146. Sramkova is ranked WTA: 37.

Stefanini is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sramkova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sramkova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sramkova is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stefanini won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Miami
17.03.25	Ysaline Bonaventure - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Cristina Bucsa	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Louisa Chirico	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW
- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Lulu Sun	1:2 ✺
WTA Merida
28.02.25	Emiliana Arango - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.08.23	Rebecca Sramkova - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1

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