Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Abu Dhabi, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.37	3
	1.4	3.17
	1.43	2.91	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.38	3.06	Watch
	1.32	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)	3.09 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
69.1%

Hailey Baptiste
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Hailey Baptiste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Samsonova (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ludmilla Samsonova will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 18. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 56.

In recent matches, Samsonova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Baptiste is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Samsonova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Samsonova is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Samsonova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Abu Dhabi
03.02.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Laura Siegemund - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Marketa Vondrousova	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
09.01.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL
- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Abu Dhabi
03.02.26	Hailey Baptiste - Emma Navarro	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Hailey Baptiste - Teodora Kostovic	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hailey Baptiste - Teodora Kostovic	Canceled ✺
WTA Australian Open
23.01.26	Cori Gauff - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Storm Hunter - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
08.05.25	Hailey Baptiste - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1
WTA Australian Open
16.01.20	Ludmilla Samsonova - Hailey Baptiste	2:1

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