Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: No. 1 Court (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Iga Swiatek		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.36	3.2
	1.31	3.35	Watch
	1.36	3.45
			Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.37	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 (1.34)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Iga Swiatek
71.6%

Ludmilla Samsonova
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.9%	0%	37.1%

Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). Samsonova will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Samsonova (votes: 9 - 47.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Samsonova (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +5 Games - Samsonova (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Samsonova (votes: 14 - 58.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Swiatek is ranked WTA: 4. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 19.

Swiatek is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samsonova is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Samsonova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Swiatek is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iga Swiatek
WTA Wimbledon
07.07.25	Iga Swiatek - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Iga Swiatek - Danielle Collins	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Iga Swiatek - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Iga Swiatek - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
28.06.25	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWWL
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Wimbledon
07.07.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Maya Joint - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
23.06.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
02.09.24	Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0
WTA Beijing
08.10.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Dubai
22.02.23	Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0
WTA Stuttgart
23.04.22	Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1

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