Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Lui Maxted		Harry Wendelken

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.88	1.96
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.78	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.98)	1.92 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lui Maxted
51.5%

Harry Wendelken
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Lui Maxted - Harry Wendelken Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Maxted will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Wendelken will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maxted (votes: 1 - 50%). Wendelken (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maxted is ranked ATP: 403. Wendelken is ranked ATP: 277.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Maxted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maxted won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Stefan Dostanic - Lui Maxted	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	James Story - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Lui Maxted - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted	Elias G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLW?
- Harry Wendelken
ITF Tournaments
28.02.26	Harry Wendelken - Sebastian Sorger	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Harry Wendelken - Jan Kumstat	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Harry Wendelken - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Harry Wendelken - Oskari Paldanius	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Francesco Forti - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.01.26	Lui Maxted - Harry Wendelken	2:0

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