Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roehampton, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday


	Lui Maxted		Gabi Adrian Boitan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.30
	1.54	2.40	Watch
	1.65	2.40
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.62	2.30
	1.55	2.30	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	2.34 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lui Maxted
59.9%

Gabi Adrian Boitan
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Gabi Adrian Boitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lui Maxted that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabi Adrian Boitan than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabi Adrian Boitan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lui Maxted - Gabi Adrian Boitan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maxted is ranked ATP: 403. Boitan is ranked ATP: 441.

Maxted is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Boitan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boitan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maxted is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabi Adrian Boitan - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.27%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Lui Maxted - Patrick Brady	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Matteo Martineau - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.08.26	Charles Broom - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Lui Maxted - Mark Ceban	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Lui Maxted - Marcus Walters	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW
- Gabi Adrian Boitan
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Christian Langmo - Gabi Adrian Boitan	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Gabriel Debru	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLL

Lui Maxted - Gabi Adrian Boitan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide