Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Lui Maxted		Raul Brancaccio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.82	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.59)	1.93 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lui Maxted
52.3%

Raul Brancaccio
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lui Maxted's form might have worsened.

Raul Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raul Brancaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lui Maxted, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raul Brancaccio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lui Maxted - Raul Brancaccio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brancaccio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maxted is ranked ATP: 451. Brancaccio is ranked ATP: 340.

In recent matches, Maxted has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brancaccio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Maxted may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maxted might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Raul Brancaccio - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.38%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted	Elias G. retired ✺
19.02.26	Naoya Honda - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Lui Maxted - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Lui Maxted - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Anton Matusevich - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 ?WWLL
- Raul Brancaccio
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Tomas Luis	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Massimo Giunta	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWW?L

Lui Maxted - Raul Brancaccio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide