Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Gastao Elias		Lui Maxted

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.73
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.05	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.11)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
44.6%

Lui Maxted
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Maxted will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Elias (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Maxted (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Elias is ranked ATP: 389. Maxted is ranked ATP: 451.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Maxted may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Gastao Elias - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Gastao Elias - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Gastao Elias - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL
- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Naoya Honda - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Lui Maxted - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Lui Maxted - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Anton Matusevich - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Alessandro Coccioli - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW

Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide