Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Stefan Dostanic		Lui Maxted

	1	2
			Watch
	1.37	2.8	Watch
	1.39	2.98
	1.34	2.97	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	2.87 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Dostanic
67.6%

Lui Maxted
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Dostanic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefan Dostanic's performance.

Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lui Maxted might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Dostanic than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefan Dostanic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lui Maxted could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stefan Dostanic - Lui Maxted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dostanic is ranked ATP: 352. Maxted is ranked ATP: 451.

Dostanic is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Maxted has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maxted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dostanic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Dostanic will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Dostanic
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Stefan Dostanic - Petros Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Stefan Dostanic - Andres Andrade	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Olaf Pieczkowski - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Robert Strombachs - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Lui Maxted
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	James Story - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Lui Maxted - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted	Elias G. retired ✺
19.02.26	Naoya Honda - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLW?W

Stefan Dostanic - Lui Maxted: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide