Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Francisco Rocha		Lui Maxted

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.30
	3.25	1.3
	3.55	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.31
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.89)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Rocha
28.5%

Lui Maxted
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Rocha than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisco Rocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lui Maxted, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Francisco Rocha - Lui Maxted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 854., and Maxted is ranked ATP: 394..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Maxted may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Maxted is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Rocha
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Michael Agwi - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Francisco Rocha - Salvador Monteiro	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Francisco Rocha - Patrick Schoen	Canceled ✺
16.09.26	Benjamin Pietri - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Jack Anthrop - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LW?LL
- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Lui Maxted	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Tyler Stice - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Blu Baker - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Lui Maxted - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Lui Maxted - Julien Penzlin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

Francisco Rocha - Lui Maxted: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide