Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Curitiba 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Luis Guto Miguel		Facundo Mena

	1	2
	2.00	1.72
	2.03	1.7
	2.07	1.68	Watch
	2.03	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.2)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Guto Miguel
45.3%

Facundo Mena
54.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Guto Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Guto Miguel than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Luis Guto Miguel - Facundo Mena Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Mena will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mena: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mena (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Mena (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mena (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Miguel is ranked ATP: 657., and Mena is ranked ATP: 220..

Both players look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Mena may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mena holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Mena in today's match, at odds of 1.56.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Guto Miguel
Boys Singles US Open
12.09.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Marcel Latak	1:2
11.09.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Thilo Behrmann	2:0
10.09.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Jordan Lee	2:1
09.09.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Kai Thompson	2:0
07.09.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Mark Ceban	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LWWWW
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Alex Barrena - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Facundo Mena - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Facundo Mena - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Facundo Mena - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Luis Guto Miguel - Facundo Mena

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Luis Guto Miguel - Facundo Mena Predictions

Preview

Form

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