Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - Final

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2


	Alex Barrena		Facundo Mena

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.80	Watch
	1.9	1.75	Watch
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2.02	1.81
	1.94	1.75	Watch
	1.9	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.23)	1.77 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
47.6%

Facundo Mena
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Barrena's performance.

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Facundo Mena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Barrena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Mena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Alex Barrena - Facundo Mena Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Barrena will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Mena will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 240., and Mena is ranked ATP: 220..

Barrena is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Mena is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Mena could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Mena in today's match, at odds of 1.76.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Barrena - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
26.09.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Valentin Garay - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWL
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
26.09.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Facundo Mena - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Facundo Mena - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Facundo Mena - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Facundo Mena - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW

Alex Barrena - Facundo Mena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide