Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 POREC (CROATIA), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Luka Pavlovic		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	1.8	1.87
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	1.99
	1.79	1.99
	1.83	1.83
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.05)	1.93 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Pavlovic
52%

Federico Arnaboldi
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luka Pavlovic's performance.

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Arnaboldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luka Pavlovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ITF Tournaments
08.03.24	Timo Stodder - Luka Pavlovic	Stodder T. retired ✺
07.03.24	Niccolo Baroni - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Mykyta Mashtakov - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
30.01.24	Ewen Lumsden - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Luka Pavlovic - Carlos Gimeno Valero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?WWLL
- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
08.03.24	Michele Ribecai - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
07.03.24	Lilian Marmousez - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Alen Bill - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
23.01.24	Mert Alkaya - Federico Arnaboldi	Alkaya M. retired ✺
19.01.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWW?L

Luka Pavlovic - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide