Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Luka Pavlovic		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
	3.5	1.29
	3	1.36
	3.42	1.3
	3.89	1.27
	3.56	1.29	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.44	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.5)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Pavlovic
27.8%

Leandro Riedi
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luka Pavlovic's form might have worsened.

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leandro Riedi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leandro Riedi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Luka Pavlovic - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pavlovic will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Riedi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Riedi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 199. Riedi is ranked ATP: 436.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Riedi is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Luka Pavlovic - Federico Agustin Gomez	Gomez F. A. retired ✺
15.07.25	Luka Pavlovic - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Luka Pavlovic - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 L?WLW
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Learner Tien - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Evan Bynoe - Leandro Riedi	Riedi L. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Andres Martin - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWW?L

Luka Pavlovic - Leandro Riedi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide