Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Luka Pavlovic		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.02	1.7	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.02	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Pavlovic
46%

Pol Martin Tiffon
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pol Martin Tiffon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Luka Pavlovic - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Users Predictions: Pol Martin Tiffon will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pol Martin Tiffon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 209. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 256.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Luka Pavlovic - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.82%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Pol Martin Tiffon - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.26	Luka Pavlovic - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Luka Pavlovic - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Luka Pavlovic - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Luka Pavlovic - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWLL
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Lloyd Harris - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW

Luka Pavlovic - Pol Martin Tiffon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide