Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ALICANTE (SPAIN), HARD

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday


	Lukas Klein		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.05	1.72
	2.07	1.79
	2.1	1.67
	1.84	1.89	Watch
	2.13	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.39)	1.73 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Klein
45.9%

Ilya Ivashka
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Klein has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Klein's performance.

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilya Ivashka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Klein than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Klein that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilya Ivashka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Lukas Klein - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Klein will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Ivashka will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Klein: 55.2% – 100%.

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Preview

Both players are in bad shape now.

Klein could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ivashka will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Klein
ATP Challenger
22.09.23	Lukas Klein - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
19.09.23	Lukas Klein - Jules Marie	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Alexandros Skorilas - Lukas Klein	Canceled ✺
16.09.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lukas Klein	Klein L. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
10.09.23	Damir Dzumhur - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LW??L
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Ilya Ivashka - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Alexei Popyrin - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
05.08.23	Ilya Ivashka - Yosuke Watanuki	Canceled ✺
ATP Los Cabos
04.08.23	Borna Coric - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLL?L

Lukas Klein - Ilya Ivashka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide