Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Lukas Neumayer		Guido Ivan Justo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.30	3.20	Watch
	1.3	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.57
	1.3	3.23	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.48)	3.27 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
71.5%

Guido Ivan Justo
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Neumayer's performance.

Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guido Ivan Justo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Lukas Neumayer - Guido Ivan Justo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 167. Justo is ranked ATP: 238.

Neumayer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Justo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Justo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neumayer is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.24%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Lukas Neumayer - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Florian Broska - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Lukas Neumayer - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
07.06.26	Lukas Neumayer - Michal Krajci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW
- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Georgii Kravchenko	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Olle Wallin	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Ognjen Milic - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Franco Agamenone	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWW?

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