Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Lukas Neumayer		Harry Wendelken

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.69	2.26
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)	2.23 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
58.2%

Harry Wendelken
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Harry Wendelken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harry Wendelken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Lukas Neumayer - Harry Wendelken Predictions

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lukas Neumayer will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 230. Wendelken is ranked ATP: 277.

Now, both players are in good form.

Neumayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Neumayer might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Harry Wendelken - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.63%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Jacopo Vasami	Vasami J. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.02.26	Lukas Neumayer - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Lukas Neumayer - Tiago Cacao	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Lukas Neumayer - Matthew Summers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?LWW
- Harry Wendelken
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Harry Wendelken - Stefan Dostanic	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Lui Maxted - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.26	Harry Wendelken - Sebastian Sorger	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Harry Wendelken - Jan Kumstat	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Harry Wendelken - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW

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