Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BAD WALTERSDORF (AUSTRIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 September 2023, Monday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.29	3.73
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.24	3.74	Watch
	1.28	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	3.51 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
73.3%

Jozef Kovalik
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roberto Carballes Baena's performance.

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jozef Kovalik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carballes Baena in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kovalik is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carballes Baena is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Carballes Baena to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	Canceled
09.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
08.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
07.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?WWWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Jozef Kovalik - Pedro Cachin	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Henri Squire - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Francisco Comesana - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.23	Hugo Dellien - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.10.19	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jozef Kovalik	Carballes Baena R. retired
09.10.15	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jozef Kovalik	2:1
05.06.15	Jozef Kovalik - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0

Roberto Carballes Baena - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide