Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WASHINGTON (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	beIN Sports, Eurosport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1


	Mackenzie McDonald		Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.53	2.5
	1.56	2.4
	1.58	2.53
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)	2.46 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
61.3%

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mackenzie McDonald's performance.

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mackenzie McDonald that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diego Sebastian Schwartzman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Mackenzie McDonald - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman Predictions

Users Predictions: Mackenzie McDonald will win (40 of 45 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 98.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Schwartzman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

McDonald will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches McDonald won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Newport
21.07.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
19.07.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Alexander Bublik - Mackenzie McDonald	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
01.07.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
29.06.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Mikael Ymer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Jannik Sinner - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	3:0 ✺
03.07.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
29.06.23	Dusan Lajovic - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
27.06.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
ATP London
22.06.23	Alex De Minaur - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
19.06.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0
ATP Barcelona
19.04.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0

Mackenzie McDonald - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide