Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.65	2.27
	1.66	2.12	Watch
	1.6	2.26	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.41)	2.31 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
59.3%

Harold Mayot
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mackenzie McDonald's form might have worsened.

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harold Mayot's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harold Mayot, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Mackenzie McDonald - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Mayot will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Mayot (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 99. Mayot is ranked ATP: 172.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McDonald could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.09.25	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Fajing Sun - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Harold Mayot - Viktor Durasovic	Canceled ✺
17.09.25	Dan Added - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LW?LW

Mackenzie McDonald - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide