Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Max Purcell

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.7
	1.48	2.7
	1.5	2.76
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.72	Watch
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	2.71 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
64.9%

Max Purcell
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Max Purcell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Mackenzie McDonald - Max Purcell Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Purcell will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Purcell: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches McDonald is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Purcell is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

McDonald will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Corentin Moutet - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
24.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
22.09.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- Max Purcell
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Max Purcell - Yu Hsiou Hsu	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.23	Max Purcell - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
25.09.23	Max Purcell - Hanwen Li	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.23	Max Purcell - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Max Purcell - Christopher OConnell	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL

Mackenzie McDonald - Max Purcell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide