Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Corentin Moutet		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.63	2.4
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.91)	2.34 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
59.4%

Mackenzie McDonald
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corentin Moutet's performance.

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mackenzie McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corentin Moutet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mackenzie McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Corentin Moutet - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 46. McDonald is ranked ATP: 96.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Moutet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Corentin Moutet - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Corentin Moutet - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Daniel Evans - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Ben Shelton - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Corentin Moutet	Canceled
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Corentin Moutet - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2

Corentin Moutet - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide