Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ACAPULCO (MEXICO), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 2 March 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Mackenzie McDonald		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.65
	2.26	1.62
	2.38	1.66
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.32	1.61	Watch
	2.22	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.27)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
41.7%

Tommy Paul
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Mackenzie McDonald - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Paul will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paul will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches McDonald won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Acapulco
01.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Luciano Darderi - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mackenzie McDonald	Canceled ✺
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
17.02.23	Michael Mmoh - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WW?LW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Acapulco
01.03.23	Michael Mmoh - Tommy Paul	Mmoh M. retired ✺
27.02.23	Emilio Gomez - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.23	Radu Albot - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
16.02.23	Denis Kudla - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.23	Sergey Fomin - Tommy Paul	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?WLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
24.02.20	Tommy Paul - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1

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