Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ACAPULCO (MEXICO), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.44	2.8
	1.46	2.9
	1.44	2.75
	1.42	2.88	Watch
	1.43	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.36)	2.81 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
66.2%

Mackenzie McDonald
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.6%	0%	48.4%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 16 - 51.6%). McDonald will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 34% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches McDonald is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

McDonald could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Rio de Janeiro
26.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
24.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
23.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
17.02.23	Michael Mmoh - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
15.02.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Taro Daniel - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
08.02.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0

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