Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.7	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.23)	1.44 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
34.5%

Brandon Nakashima
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mackenzie McDonald's form might have worsened.

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - McDonald (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nakashima (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 100. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.

Last 5 head-to-head matches McDonald won 4.

Both players are now playing unstable.

McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 6 head-to-head matches McDonald won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.5:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.09%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Nick Kyrgios	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mackenzie McDonald	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLW?L
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Atlanta
23.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	N/A
ATP Acapulco
01.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP Australian Open
15.01.23	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	2:3
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.21	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2
ATP Challenger
20.11.20	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0

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