Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Madison Keys		Beatriz Haddad Maia

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.64	2.27	Watch
	1.67	2.34
	1.67	2.26	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.65	2.26	Watch
	1.64	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)	2.26 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
57.8%

Beatriz Haddad Maia
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Beatriz Haddad Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beatriz Haddad Maia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	6.7%	40%

Madison Keys - Beatriz Haddad Maia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Haddad Maia will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 24. Haddad Maia is ranked WTA: 12.

Recent matches Keys is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Haddad Maia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Keys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Keys won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Beijing
28.09.24	Madison Keys - Sara Sorribes Tormo	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
30.08.24	Madison Keys - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
28.08.24	Madison Keys - Maya Joint	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Madison Keys - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
08.08.24	Peyton Stearns - Madison Keys	Stearns P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWW?
- Beatriz Haddad Maia
WTA Beijing
28.09.24	Sijia Wei - Beatriz Haddad Maia	0:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
22.09.24	Darya Kasatkina - Beatriz Haddad Maia	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Veronika Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Polina Kudermetova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Beatriz Haddad Maia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
11.05.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Madison Keys	1:2
WTA Zhuhai
24.10.23	Madison Keys - Beatriz Haddad Maia	0:2

Madison Keys - Beatriz Haddad Maia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide