Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Madison Keys		Shuai Zhang

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.18	5
	1.19	5.59
	1.18	4.94	Watch
	1.2	4.5
	1.23	4.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.24)	4.94 ↑ (4.01)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
80.5%

Shuai Zhang
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Shuai Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Madison Keys - Shuai Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: Madison Keys will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 17. Zhang is ranked WTA: 65.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keys won 1.

Keys has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zhang's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zhang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Keys is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Keys won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Madison Keys - the odds 1.24 are the expected chance of winning is 76.38%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Charleston
04.04.26	Madison Keys - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Madison Keys - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Madison Keys - Anna Bondar	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Madison Keys - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
22.03.26	Qinwen Zheng - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL
- Shuai Zhang
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Shuai Zhang - Eva Lys	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.26	Shuai Zhang - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
WTA Linz
08.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
31.03.26	Shuai Zhang - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.26	Shuai Zhang - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA San Jose
01.08.22	Shuai Zhang - Madison Keys	0:2
04.08.21	Shuai Zhang - Madison Keys	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
28.09.20	Shuai Zhang - Madison Keys	2:0
WTA Australian Open
25.01.16	Madison Keys - Shuai Zhang	1:2
WTA Acapulco
25.02.14	Madison Keys - Shuai Zhang	1:2
WTA Tokyo
09.10.13	Shuai Zhang - Madison Keys	0:2

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