Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Madison Keys		Yulia Starodubtseva

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.52
	1.31	3.3	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.34	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)	3.32 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
71.5%

Yulia Starodubtseva
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Yulia Starodubtseva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yulia Starodubtseva than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Madison Keys - Yulia Starodubtseva Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Starodubtseva will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 19. Starodubtseva is ranked WTA: 57.

Keys is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Starodubtseva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Starodubtseva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Keys is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keys won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Madison Keys - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Madison Keys - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Madison Keys - Fiona Ferro	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Madison Keys - Nikola Bartunkova	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Madison Keys - Peyton Stearns	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW
- Yulia Starodubtseva
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Katie Volynets - Yulia Starodubtseva	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Shuai Zhang - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Taylah Preston - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
07.05.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Charleston
04.04.26	Madison Keys - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2

Madison Keys - Yulia Starodubtseva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide