Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Madison Keys		Nikola Bartunkova

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.37	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.4
	1.39	2.95	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.38	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)	3.15 ↑ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
69.7%

Nikola Bartunkova
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nikola Bartunkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikola Bartunkova than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Madison Keys - Nikola Bartunkova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Madison Keys will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 19. Bartunkova is ranked WTA: 94.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Keys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Keys is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Madison Keys - Peyton Stearns	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Madison Keys - Shuai Zhang	Canceled ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.26	Madison Keys - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Madison Keys - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Madison Keys - Anna Bondar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 W?LLW
- Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Tyra Caterina Grant - Nikola Bartunkova	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Anastasia Potapova - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
21.04.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Katarzyna Kawa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

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