Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Magdalena Frech		Solana Sierra

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.21
	1.68	2.33
	1.66	2.22	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.68	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)	2.26 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdalena Frech
57.6%

Solana Sierra
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdalena Frech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Solana Sierra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Solana Sierra than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Magdalena Frech - Solana Sierra Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Frech will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sierra will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sierra: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Frech is ranked WTA: 38. Sierra is ranked WTA: 88.

Frech has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sierra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sierra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magdalena Frech
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Magdalena Frech - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled ✺
WTA Stuttgart
13.04.26	Laura Siegemund - Magdalena Frech	Canceled ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.26	Anna Bondar - Magdalena Frech	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.26	McCartney Kessler - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.26	Storm Hunter - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ??LLL
- Solana Sierra
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Dayana Yastremska - Solana Sierra	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
30.03.26	Solana Sierra - Akasha Urhobo	Sierra S. Retired ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.26	Solana Sierra - Kamilla Rakhimova	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Solana Sierra - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Solana Sierra - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 W?L?L

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