Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Magdalena Frech		Katerina Siniakova

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.64
	2.19	1.66
	2.31	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.35	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdalena Frech
41.7%

Katerina Siniakova
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdalena Frech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Katerina Siniakova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Magdalena Frech - Katerina Siniakova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Frech is ranked WTA: 38. Siniakova is ranked WTA: 42.

Frech is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Siniakova is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Frech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Siniakova could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Siniakova will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Frech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magdalena Frech
WTA Stuttgart
13.04.26	Laura Siegemund - Magdalena Frech	Canceled ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.26	Anna Bondar - Magdalena Frech	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.26	McCartney Kessler - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.26	Storm Hunter - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
WTA Merida
01.03.26	Cristina Bucsa - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 ?LLLL
- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Miami
17.03.26	Katerina Siniakova - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.26	Katerina Siniakova - Elina Svitolina	Siniakova K. retired ✺
09.03.26	Mirra Andreeva - Katerina Siniakova	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Katerina Siniakova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Katerina Siniakova - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.10.22	Magdalena Frech - Katerina Siniakova	0:2

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