Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Mai Hontama		Andrea Lazaro Garcia

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.75	2.00
	1.72	2.07
	1.68	2.26
	1.68	2.18	Watch
	1.63	2.25
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.7	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.52)	2.11 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
55.3%

Andrea Lazaro Garcia
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mai Hontama's form might have worsened.

Andrea Lazaro Garcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Lazaro Garcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Lazaro Garcia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mai Hontama - Andrea Lazaro Garcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 167. Lazaro Garcia is ranked WTA: 142.

Hontama is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Lazaro Garcia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Mai Hontama - Lina Gjorcheska	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.08.26	Yeon Woo Ku - Mai Hontama	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Mai Hontama - Erika Andreeva	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Maddison Inglis - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Mai Hontama - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW
- Andrea Lazaro Garcia
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Elina Avanesyan - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Aurora Zantedeschi	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Chloe Paquet	Paquet C. Retired ✺
31.07.26	Laura Pigossi - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Nadia Podoroska - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WL?LW

Mai Hontama - Andrea Lazaro Garcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide