Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Canberra - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Mai Hontama		Manon Leonard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.58	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.84)	2.32 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
59.9%

Manon Leonard
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.

Manon Leonard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manon Leonard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Mai Hontama - Manon Leonard Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonard (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 240. Leonard is ranked WTA: 202.

Hontama has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hontama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Mai Hontama - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.97%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Manon Leonard - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.03%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
ITF Tournaments
02.12.25	Mai Hontama - Harriet Dart	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Mai Hontama - Natsuki Yoshimoto	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mai Hontama - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Anastasia Gasanova - Mai Hontama	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Mai Hontama - Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWW
- Manon Leonard
ATP Challenger
11.12.25	Anna Siskova - Manon Leonard	2:0 ✺
09.12.25	Marina Bassols Ribera - Manon Leonard	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.10.25	Manon Leonard - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Manon Leonard - Alexandra Shubladze	Shubladze A. retired ✺
17.10.25	Manon Leonard - Oceane Dodin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.03.23	Manon Leonard - Mai Hontama	0:2

Mai Hontama - Manon Leonard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide