Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Himeno Sakatsume		Mai Hontama

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.3
	1.26	3.66	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.33	3.41	Watch
	1.42	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)	3.34 ↑ (2.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Himeno Sakatsume
71.7%

Mai Hontama
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Himeno Sakatsume has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Himeno Sakatsume's performance.

Mai Hontama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mai Hontama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Himeno Sakatsume that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mai Hontama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Himeno Sakatsume - Mai Hontama Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sakatsume will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 140. Hontama is ranked WTA: 242.

Sakatsume is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hontama has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hontama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sakatsume is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sakatsume won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Himeno Sakatsume
WTA Australian Open
12.01.26	Manon Leonard - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Polina Kudermetova - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Mayar Sherif - Himeno Sakatsume	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Tahlia Kokkinis - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW
- Mai Hontama
WTA Australian Open
12.01.26	Mai Hontama - Maria Timofeeva	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	En Shuo Liang - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Mai Hontama - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.12.25	Mai Hontama - Harriet Dart	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Mai Hontama - Natsuki Yoshimoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.09.23	Mai Hontama - Himeno Sakatsume	Hontama M. retired
04.03.20	Himeno Sakatsume - Mai Hontama	1:2

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