Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.29	1.7
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
44.3%

Jan Choinski
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Maks Kasnikowski - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kasnikowski will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Choinski will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 279. Choinski is ranked ATP: 106.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Federico Cina - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Norbert Gombos - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Jan Choinski - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Jan Choinski - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW

Maks Kasnikowski - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide