Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.16
	1.73	2.06	Watch
	1.75	2.07
	1.67	2.05	Watch
	1.7	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
54.7%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Sho Shimabukuro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 94. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 144.

Shimabukuro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Budkov Kjaer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Sho Shimabukuro - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.79%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.21%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Los Cabos
28.07.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Jaime Faria	1:3 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.26	Ben Shelton - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Otto Virtanen	1:3 ✺
24.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW

Sho Shimabukuro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide